There’s a lot of talk in the air that Prime Minister Narendra Modi could dissolve the Lok Sabha and bring forward the 2019 General Election. Some say they could take place in December 2018 along with the Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh Assembly elections. This would be in keeping with Modi’s desire to club the General Elections with state Assembly elections.
Another idea doing the rounds is that they could happen within the next 100 days, with a new government in power exactly 12 months before it’s supposed to happen.
Technology entrepreneur Rajesh Jain, who helped the 2014 Modi campaign, has strengthened these rumours by showing that the BJP’s seats have only been declining since 2014.
The longer Modi waits for the General Election, the more traction he might lose. After all, anti-incumbency has its cyclical logic. The troubles around unemployment and rural distress could only increase. What if rising oil prices cause high inflation? And god forbid if there’s a bad monsoon.
The strongest argument in favour of early elections remains the element of surprise — and we know that Modi loves to spring surprises. An early election will not give the Opposition time to band together and form a coherent strategy for an anti-incumbency campaign.
Persuasive as these ideas might be, the truth is that the Modi government is facing a crisis with the rural economy, particularly landed farmers. The economy has been listless for a while with private investment not picking up. As the government recapitalises banks, as the government launches its national health insurance scheme and consolidates on its past schemes, it will need all the time it can get to persuade voters.
Calling early election is a huge risk. Atal Bihari Vajpayee became prime minister for the third time in October 1999. The next elections were due in October 2004. Excited by election victories in Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Chhattisgarh in December 2003, the BJP decided to bring forward the elections. Instead of September-October 2004, they were held in April-May that year. The BJP lost.
It will be surprising if Modi repeats Vajpayee’s mistake. Every day in power is another day for a politician to appeal to voters. Early elections are a loss of opportunity.
The only circumstance when a ruling politician likes to call an early election is when he is confident he’s on a peak — a high so great that he can’t rise any further.
In July 2002, as chief minister, Modi dissolved the Gujarat assembly. Elections were finally held in December 2002. The BJP’s logic in wanting early elections was the polarisation caused by the Godhra violence. Perhaps a similar peak could have been the surgical strikes against Pakistan in 2016. Unless the Modi government achieves such a peak, early elections are unlikely.
That leaves the question of simultaneous polls. Instead of bringing forward the 2019 General Election to align it with any state elections, it is more likely the BJP might bring forward a few state elections to hold them along with the General Election in April-May 2019.
Since the BJP is in power in 19 states, it can easily dissolve as many Assemblies as it wants at will and have elections in those states anytime. States like Haryana, Jharkhand and Maharashtra, which are scheduled to hold elections soon after the 2019 General Election are especially likely to see early elections along with the Lok Sabha elections.
Another act of apathy on behalf of the doctors came to light in the Unnao district of Uttar Pradesh where the doctors denied treatment to a pregnant and she delivered a baby beside the hospital gate. A video on this issue has become viral questioning the infrastructure available in Government hospitals and the indifferent attitude of doctors towards the poor patients. So far no response has been received from the hospital authorities on this issue.
So, there are more chances of HIV being spread from various places to this area. According to the statement of a Councillor in that area, there are as many as 500 cases of HIV positive in that area if proper tests are done. Uttar Pradesh Health Minister ordered an immediate enquiry in this case.
Queen Kangana Ranaut has been working hard on the sets of her new film, Manikarnika. The movie is directed by Krrish, Telugu young director who National Award winning film, Kanche and also historical fiction, Gautamiputra Satakarni last year. He got this offer after successfully completing the movie Gautamiputra Satakarni in less budget and in planned number of days.
Baahubali writer, Vijayendra Prasad wrote the screenplay of the film and it is said to be one of his dreams to write a movie on the great warrior queen.
Karni Sena took the baton of promoting Padmaavat by protesting the release of the movie. They disrupted the shoot, slapped Sanjay Leela Bhanshali and even warned the makers to not release. They made the Governments of Gujarat, Rajasthan, Haryana, Bihar ban the movie from release.
Went to Supreme Court to stay the movie release and once, it released they burnt the buses and free screens in huge malls. After all that, they recently agreed their mistake and announced that they mistook the intentions of the makers. Now, they have asked Governments of various states to show the film to everyone.
Sarwa Brahmin Mahasabha decided to do the same for Manikarnika. Till today, they haven’t raised any objections, but now they are saying the makers are planning to destroy the image of great Queen by showing her having a relationship with a British officer. They are demanding that the movie should be shown to them first and then only it should release. The makers have made it clear that they took Government permission and submitted the draft early for no objection certificate.
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